Estimating Drawdowns: How Low Can the Markets Go?

In the spirit of transparency, and because we believe it’s the best estimate of portfolio risk, Evercore Wealth Management attempts to show clients an estimated maximum drawdown for their portfolios, from market peak to trough. We start with basic assumptions,…

Bear Markets: Inevitable but Manageable

Bear markets are inevitable, painful and, with proper planning, manageable. This is my eighth bear market in my 52 years as a wealth manager. The prior ones averaged a peak-to-trough drawdown of 41% in stocks and 25% in balanced portfolios…

Now What? Time to Revisit Goals

Here’s a paradox: In the two years in which we have wrestled with a global pandemic and its myriad related issues, the S&P 500 soared, rising 120% from the initial shutdown shock. Now, just as the virus may be downshifting…

Preparing the Next Generation for Success

In preparing the next generation of young children and grandchildren to be happy and productive members of society, we believe that one of the single best activities to consider is family philanthropy. For parents and grandparents looking to transfer values…

A Formula for Maximizing Gift Exemptions

In the absence – yet – of new tax legislation, families face continued uncertainty regarding the future of the estate and gift tax systems. Washington could remain in deadlock on this issue, of course, but tax changes could also be…

Wealth Planning in Markets Too Good to Last

This is not “That ‘70s Show”. I know that not because I’m familiar with the popular television show of that name, but because I started my career in 1970. It was a decade of poor economic growth and poor equity…

Planning With Purpose: Non-Charitable Purpose Trusts

If we can’t take a treasured possession with us, we might want to ensure that it’s taken care of. hat’s true for all sorts of assets, whether a beloved family vacation home, an art collection, a pet, or even our…

Constructing a Family Financial Scaffold

I really like scaffolding as a metaphor for supporting our families. I like it so much that I’m borrowing it from Dr. Harold Koplewicz, President of the Child Mind Institute, author of The Scaffold Effect: Raising Resilient, Self-Reliant, and Secure…

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